Bret Stephens | What Putin Really Wants From the Ukraine Crisis – The New York Times

Opinion Columnist

“Grave may have been the mistakes of Donald Rumsfeld, but George W. Bush’s first defense secretary did have a gift for memorable phrases. One of them — “weakness is provocative” — explains the predicament we again find ourselves in with Russia’s belligerence against Ukraine and NATO.

Let’s recap how we got here.

■ In August 2008, Russia invaded Georgia and took control of two of its provinces. The Bush administration protested but did almost nothing. After Barack Obama won the White House that fall, he pursued a “reset” with Russia. In 2012, he cut U.S. force levels in Europe to their lowest levels in postwar history and mocked Mitt Romney for calling Russia our principal geopolitical threat.

■ In September 2013, Obama famously retreated from his red line against Bashar al-Assad’s use of nerve gas in Syria, accepting instead a Russian offer of mediation that was supposed to have eliminated al-Assad’s chemical arsenal. That arsenal was never fully destroyed, but Vladimir Putin took note of Obama’s palpable reluctance to get involved.

■ In February 2014, Russia used “little green men” to seize and then annex Crimea. The Obama administration protested but did almost nothing. Russia then took advantage of unrest in eastern Ukraine to shear off two Ukrainian provinces while sparking a war that has lasted seven years and cost more than 13,000 lives. Obama responded with weak sanctions on Russia and a persistent refusal to arm Ukraine.”

David Lindsay Jr.
Hamden, CT | NYT Comment:
First I liked Bret’s arguments, but then Frank chimed in with a longer more sophisticated view. “Play the long game because that is how you will win. Move the economies of the world to renewables and watch them fall. If Putin choses to invade make sure he and his oligarch’s can’t shop in Milan ,Rome, Paris etc. Watch them squirm.”
It is awful, but both are right. And so is the commenter who pointed out, this is Europe’s neighbor, not really our problem. I would like to see Germany take the lead, by reversing its decision to get rid of all nuclear power, and follow the French, into the new, modern, and safer than before, nuclear energy era, to really tie Putin and his shaky economy into knots. In the short run, the new nuclear energy plant designs are the safest way for Europe to lose its dependency on Russian oil and gas. Without the sale of such products, the birds are singing, Putin has a problem. Apparently his GNP is now estimated at about $1.5 trillion, larger than that of Florida, $1.2 trillion, but smaller than that of New York, $1.9 trillion.
David Lindsay is the author of “The Tay Son Rebellion,” a novel about 18th century Vietnam, and blogs at InconvenientNews.Net.

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